Panic Selling, Panic Buying

The worst thing one can do is to sabotage their own financial plans by engaging in the senseless behaviour of panic selling and panic buying. The recent financial turmoil arising from the subprime crisis in the US has unnerved many investors. Just months ago, many investors were still looking at increasing their investments for fear of missing out on the attractive returns that were being dangled by the various well performing stock markets.

Why is it that we find it so much easier to invest our money when markets have headed up significantly and find it so difficult to invest our money when markets are depressed and downside is limited?

Much research had gone into analysing such investor behaviours and it largely boils down to panic buying and panic selling.

When markets are on an uptrend, the good news abound and money appears to be readily available on the tables for anyone willing to reach out for it. Investors are afraid of losing out on pocketing the potential profits with each day's delay. Speculators rush into the markets in panic buying and all sorts of equities, blue chips or not, rise across the board. Yet, when stocks are chased to sky high valuations, not many see the warning signs that whatever goes up must come down, and continue to pour cash into these already risky investments, priming themselves for major losses once the market corrects the excesses.

When the market inbalances start to even out with corrections, people rush to liquidate their investments. Granted, this is sensible behaviour for the protection of the value of the assets will enable one to re-enter the market at a later date. The problem perhaps, is knowing when to re-enter the market. When is the best time to invest again?

Panic selling results in stock valuations falling below their reasonable valuables and once investors have confidence that the valuations are extremely compelling, it should be a good time to start investing in the market again. No one knows when exactly stock markets bottom and neither will anyone know how long bearish sentiments will prevail. However, one thing history has shown us - After a period of negative sentiments and stock prices had been depressed, it is only a matter of time before stocks rebound. As long as time is on the investors' side and free cash is not being earmarked for any use in the short term, it is better to bargain pick some fundamentally solid stocks and hold on to them.

In each investor's lifetime, it is expected that there will come various opportunities whereby the market is put up for sale at fantastic bargains. The major market crashes like US Sub-Prime Crisis in 2008, SARS in 2003, dot com bubble of 2000, Asian Financial Crisis in 1997, Black Monday in 1987, Wall Street Crash in 1929... all presented superb opportunities for the brave to go against the panic selling of the masses. Investors should be rational about investing in the stock market. When the upmarket departmental store launches an exceptional sale, people rush in to grab all sorts of merchandise. When the stock market falls to extremely depressed levels, people are avoiding the market instead of picking up good discounted shares that will bring much happiness once the financial storm blows over?

In the stock market, money is not made by following the crowd. Panic selling and panic buying is not going to help grow the investment portfolio spectacularly. Exceptional returns are only available to those who are able to see beyond the fears of the common investor. Who dares win.

Investing in Bear Markets

The financial meltdown arising from subprime losses may have been the first event in a multi year economy downturn. Property prices are down, foreclosures are up, banks are getting more selective in their loans and stock markets have been on a downward trend.

Is the bear market already upon us? In the near short term, it is highly probable that stock markets are going to continue their downward trend though some bounces will occur when oversold levels are perceived.

Is it time to exit the market and hold cash instead? Cash is king but such downturns are the best investment opportunities for those with spare cash on hand. Pick up stocks with solid fundamentals. During the last downturn, the market darlings were companies with strong balance sheets or a large cash pile to back them up. Blue chips that regularly paid out dividends were also highly preferred because of the stability they accorded. It even spawned unit trusts such as First State Dividend Advantage and SGAM Singapore Dividend Growth.

Pick up stock bargains now. Go contrarian and the rewards will be reap when the economy turns around and fairly valued companies shine through.

Fidelity Multi Asset Navigator Fund

Fidelity Multi Asset Navigator Fund offers not only exposure to bonds, equities and cash, but also property and commodities to improve diversification and enhance performance. Consequently, this mutual fund is able to tap into an array of opportunities globally to which many other funds do not otherwise have access. Such a more diversified asset mix is suppose to reduce the overall risk of the portfolio without forgoing returns. An added draw of the fund is that the asset mix changes accordin to the stages of the global economic cycle. Investors need not perform fund swtiching and are able to hold onto the same fund throughout the cycle, potentially reducing the hassle and costs of investing.

The major asset allocation of this mutual fund is reviewed on a monthly basis but the fund manager is free to change the asset allocation on other days if circumstances dictate and rebalance the positions daily in order to manage cash flows.

The fund is expected to achieve asset reallocation gradually reflecting the slow movement of the economy from one phase to another. While economic models suggest four different portfolios depending on the phase of the economic cycle, the transition from one to the other will be achieved progressively rather than immediately.

This mutual fund is considered to be a low to medium risk investment based on the fact that it will have no less than 30% in bonds and cash at any time and that it also benefits from asset classes diversification. The asset mix will be adjusted to reflect the prevailing trading conditions and the Fund should therefore be more resilient to downside than pure equity-based funds. Investors will do well to note that such diversified funds also typically underperform pure equity-based funds in a bullish market.

It will do well to consider adding this mutual fund to a portfolio to gain added stability. For the more aggressive portfolio, this fund may not fit as well, potential limiting the upside achievable. It may be worthwhile to consider purchasing this fund as a defensive play when the global economic cycle has been expected to have peaked.

Low Fee Mutual Funds

Many people had put forward that investors who invest in mutual funds should seek out those that are low cost so that they are not unnecessarily paying for the services of poor performing fund managers. With such an argument, these same people are touting that investing into index funds will be one of the best option available since they are typically low cost.

Is such an investment style justified? After reviewing through the various options, I see that there is no point to deny competent fund managers an equitable renumeration if they are able to deliver value to my investments.

The aim of investing via mutual funds is that risks are diversified and the services of professionals are engaged to manage the funds. Many people expressed dissatisfaction with management fees charged because the funds had not performed up to expectations. This is a justified complaint since no one is willing to be shortchanged when they are paying good money in anticipation of proper returns.

But the truth is that there are mutual funds out there that are very consistently delivering above average returns. Investors just have to do their homework to sieve out these investment gems and invest into them. What harm is there to pay a portion of the returns obtained as renumeration when these returns are not achievable on our own when we have no time to monitor and diversify investments?